China And Russia Military Cooperation Raises Prospect Of New Challenge To American Power

The Wall Street Journal:

U.S. officials and military specialists say it is difficult to pin down the level of collaboration between two nations that tightly control information, and whose actions are increasingly opaque to outsiders. But Western officials and defense experts are growing more convinced of the closer relationship based on recent economic alliances, military exercises and joint defense development, as well as the few public statements from government leaders.

See also:
–Angst Over China, Russia Lessens Chance Of US Nuke Changes
–China And Russia Team Up To Establish Joint Moon Base

‘We’re Falling Behind’: 2022 Seen As A Pivotal Lap In The Space Race With China

Politico:

China is showing no sign of slowing its pace to surpass the U.S. and other powers in space transportation and exploration, say current and former officials and space industry experts.

“It’s becoming more and more clear how dominant China wants to be with regard to space and the space economy,” said Steve Kwast, a retired Air Force lieutenant general and space strategist. “They see the profit margin, they see the economic revenue stream and they see the national security implications.”

The competition will play out in myriad ways in 2022 that could ultimately determine which country seizes the upper hand.

See also: China Harvests Masses Of Data On Western Targets, Documents Show

China, Russia Set To Renew Cooperation Deal As Space Rivalry With US Escalates

South China Morning Post:

China and Russia are expected to sign a new five-year agreement on space cooperation next year, state media said, as the two neighbours plan to team up in space in the intensifying competition with the United States.

Under the new deal, which is to come into effect in 2023 after the current agreement ends next year, the two sides plan to jointly build an international lunar research station by 2035.

Earlier this week, Wu Yanhua, deputy director of the China National Space Administration (CNSA), told state broadcaster CCTV that the country would carry out three further missions to the moon in the next 10 years, including the Chang’e 8 moon landing mission, which aims to set up a lunar research station by around 2027.

If achieved, that would establish the research base eight years before the deal with Russia proposes to do so.

See also: China Says U.S. Has Lost Global Credibility, Urges Russia Alignment

China Warns Of ‘Drastic Measures’ If Taiwan Provokes On Independence

NBC News:

China will take “drastic measures” if Taiwan makes moves towards independence, a Beijing official warned on Wednesday, adding that Taiwan’s provocations and outside meddling could intensify next year.

China claims democratically governed Taiwan as its own territory and in the past two years has stepped up military and diplomatic pressure to assert its sovereignty claim, fueling anger in Taipei and concern in Washington.

China was willing to try its utmost to seek peaceful reunification with Taiwan but would act if any red lines on independence were crossed, Ma Xiaoguang, spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office, told a media briefing.

“If separatist forces in Taiwan seeking independence provoke, exert force or even break through any red line, we will have to take drastic measures,” Ma said.

Taiwan has emerged as a key factor in strained relations between China and the United States, the island’s most important international backer and arms supplier despite the absence of formal diplomatic ties.

Taiwan Chip Industry Emerges As Battlefront In U.S.-China Showdown

The Japan Times:

On the front line of the superpower struggle between the United States and China, Taiwan has fashioned a defensive masterstroke. It has become indispensable to both sides.

In dominating the fabrication of the most advanced semiconductors, the giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSMC) has captured a technology that’s crucial to the cutting-edge digital devices and weapons of today and tomorrow. TSMC accounts for more than 90% of global output of these chips, according to industry estimates.

Both superpowers now find themselves deeply dependent on the small island at the center of their increasingly tense rivalry.

See also:
–US Shows China Its Hand On Strategic Value Of ‘Unsinkable’ Taiwan
–Taiwan Braces For More Chinese Warplane Flybys In 2022
–Top U.S. Official In Taiwan Says China Military Flights ‘Not Acceptable’

While Europe And America Decouple From China, Asia Integrates

Forbes:

Trade patterns are shifting and profoundly so. The European Union (EU) and the United States have agreed to advance their decoupling from China. Meanwhile, agreements in Asia have opened the door to considerably more trade between the dominant economies of that region, South Korea, Japan, and China — substantively, if not immediately.

See also: New African Port To Put China Across The Atlantic From The US – Analysis

‘Festival Of Shame’: Why China Has Cracked Down On Christmas

Independent:

Scorning it as ‘Western spiritual opium’ and the ‘Festival of Shame’, China has cracked down on Christmas in recent years as the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) increasingly vociferous brand of nationalism rejects any outside influence or ideas.

Christmas may not be traditional or officially recognised in China, but there are tens of millions of Christians in the country who celebrate the occasion while much of the general public enjoy festive rituals that are common worldwide – be it shopping for gifts or going out with friends.

Yet under the leadership of Xi Jinping – and since relations with the US soured under the presidency of Donald Trump – Beijing has sought to either downplay or exert control over Western culture or beliefs, and Christmas celebrations have been repeatedly denounced.

CCP notices have banned party members, government agencies, and even universities from taking part in any festivities while slogans urging citizens to boycott Christmas are common on social media platforms.

China’s Economic Growth Will Slow Sharply In 2022, World Bank Says

CNN Business:

The World Bank has cut its forecasts for China’s economic growth this year and next, as the world’s second largest economy faces mounting headwinds from the new Omicron variant to a severe property sector downturn.

The bank now expects China’s GDP to expand 8% in 2021 compared with a year ago — that’s lower than its previous forecasts. (In October, the World Bank expected China to grow 8.1% this year. In June, it projected a growth of 8.5%.)

It also cut its 2022 forecast from 5.4% to 5.1%, which would mark the second slowest pace of growth for China since 1990 — when the country’s economy increased 3.9% following international sanctions related to the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre. China’s economy grew 2.2% in 2020.

“Downside risks to China’s economic outlook have increased,” the World Bank said Wednesday in its latest report on China’s economy.

Renewed domestic Covid outbreaks, including of the Omicron variant, could lead to more “broad-based and longer-lasting” restrictions and cause further disruptions to economic activity, it said.

In addition, “a severe and prolonged downturn” in the highly leveraged property sector might have significant reverberations across the economy, it added.

Bullish China Warns U.S. Unification With Taiwan Unstoppable By ‘Any Force’

Newsweek:

China’s ambition to “unify” with Taiwan cannot be stopped by any force or country, a government spokesperson said in a message to the United States on Monday.

At a regular Foreign Ministry press conference in Beijing, Zhao Lijian cautioned President Joe Biden’s administration against further contact with the democratic island, where public opinion of China has slid to an all-time low thanks to hostile rhetoric and bellicose military maneuvers in recent years.

The Chinese leadership and its top diplomats have all but dismissed sentiments on the opposite side of the Taiwan Strait. Beijing is at least outwardly confident about its determination—and capability—to bring the island under its rule, in accordance with its own opaque timetable.

Russia, India, China Discussing Possibility Of In-Person Summit In Near Future: Russian Envoy Kudashev

The Economic Times:

Russian Ambassador to India Nikolay Kudashev said on December 17 that Russia, India and China are discussing the possibility of in-person summit meeting between the leaders of three countries. “Russia, India, China are discussing the possibility of a summit. This is to be expected in the near future. The natural preference is that the leaders of the three countries meet in person,” Kudashev said. Asked about the possible dates of the summit, Kudashev said Kremlin has mentioned “in near future, which could be the beginning of next year possibly”.

If the Russians can at least persuade China and India to remain neutral with each other once US/NATO/GCC starts World War III, then we may have already lost.

See also: Can Putin Bring Out The True Potential Of India-Russia Relations?

Leaders’ Chat Moves Russia, China Toward Stronger Anti-US Unity, Analysts Say

Voice Of America News:

A video chat between Chinese President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin this week consolidates efforts by the two Eurasian powers to face down their mutual rival the United States in 2022, analysts say.

Putin and Xi spoke Wednesday afternoon, China’s official Xinhua News Agency reported, marking the 37th time leaders of the two countries have connected since 2013. They pledged more cooperation on safeguarding joint interests, the news agency said, and specifically covered trade, a joint pandemic response and energy cooperation.

“I think this is, quite clearly, they are trying to show they are united on a common issue, and that is the U.S,” Collin Koh, a maritime security research fellow at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, told VOA.

See also:
–‘Allies’ China And Russia Are Ganging Up On America

Biden And Kerry’s Climate Diplomacy Is A Gift To China

Foreign Policy:

U.S. President Joe Biden’s climate diplomacy with China is rooted in the fantasy that Washington can turn Beijing into a constructive global partner simply by treating it like one. The administration is paying for this vain hope with very real concessions in policy areas unrelated to climate, even as it pressures U.S. allies to imitate its approach. Unless the administration changes course, it risks damaging the United States’ long-term security and accelerating China’s sprint to dominance in key military and technology fields.

The premise of the administration’s diplomacy with Beijing seems to be that extracting promises to combat future climate change will evoke less aggressive behavior from China’s leaders. A China that reduces emissions, the thinking seems to go, is a China that wants to be a global good steward—and good stewards don’t start wars. The mere act of engagement, according to this thesis, is bound to lower temperatures, open new avenues of cooperation, and restore the United States to the status of global role model.

In reality, Beijing sees climate diplomacy as just another venue to gain strategic advantages over the United States and its allies. It has learned the West is easily gamed: China can extract concessions and encumber rivals with costly emission restrictions that slow their growth while avoiding similar restrictions on its own economy—simply by pledging to make such cuts in the far-off future. One need only look at China’s vast build-out of coal-fired power plants to see the lack of sincerity behind those pledges.

U.S. Says It Hopes For Arms Control Talks “Soon” With China

Reuters:

The United States hopes to launch arms control talks soon with China, which is expanding its nuclear arsenal and fleet of nuclear-powered submarines, a senior U.S. State Department official said on Thursday, without giving a timeline.

China is expected to double its nuclear missile arsenal in the next few years, whereas the United States and Russian Federation have made deep cuts in their stockpiles, he said.

See also: U.S. Cracks Down On Firms Said To Aid China’s Repression Of Minorities

Pentagon Worries About Chinese Buildup Near India

Foreign Policy:

The U.S. Defense Department is newly concerned about China’s further military buildup near the demarcation line across its Himalayan border with India, a senior defense official told Foreign Policy, after Beijing deployed long-range strategic bombers to the area last month in another apparent warning to New Delhi.

The senior defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive policy deliberations, said that the buildup fits the pattern of Chinese regional aggression seen elsewhere in the Indo-Pacific region, such as in the Philippines, where Chinese coast guard vessels moved to block Philippine supply boats in November. But there’s optimism among experts and officials that India will be able to stand its ground against the People’s Liberation Army. New Delhi has put up more diplomatic and military resistance than China’s antagonists in other territorial incursions, such as in the South China Sea, experts said.

“It’s just clear that [China has] become more assertive all across their territorial fault lines,” said Jeff Smith, a research fellow at the Heritage Foundation’s Asian Studies Center. “Arguably India is the one where they’ve met the most resistance. The Indians will not be cowed, coerced, or intimidated.” 

China’s Xi Reportedly Backs Putin In Russia’s Bid For Security Guarantees From The West

CNBC:

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin held their second dedicated video call of the year Wednesday, amid rising international concerns about tensions on the Russia-Ukraine border.

Putin won support from Xi for his push to obtain binding security guarantees for Russia from the West, a Kremlin official said, according to Reuters.

Russia wants the United States and NATO to guarantee the military alliance will not expand further eastward or deploy weapons systems in Ukraine and other countries on Russia’s border.

Putin also called Xi his “dear friend” and said relations between the two countries had reached “an unprecedentedly high level,” according to a report of the call’s opening remarks from Russian state news agency Tass.

Japan’s Shinzo Abe Warns China: Invasion Of Taiwan Would Be ‘Suicidal’

The Gazette:

Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe warned China that an invasion of Taiwan would incur incalculable costs as the senior Japanese politician and U.S. officials spoke up for the island democracy’s autonomy.

“When there is a threat over Taiwan and its democracy, it is a dire challenge to all of us, especially to Japan,” said Abe, who resigned from the premiership over health reasons but remains a heavyweight among Japanese legislators. “An adventure in military affairs, if pursued by such a huge economy like China’s, could be suicidal, to say the least.”

Abe’s reference to the economic costs of a conflict did little to dull the edge of the threat, as he emphasized the need for both Taiwan and Japan to coordinate security cooperation with the United States — which does not maintain official relations with the government in Taipei. And yet, that diplomatic lacuna has prevented neither Japanese nor American officials of late from characterizing Taiwan as the linchpin of Indo-Pacific security in the face of a rising Chinese Communist power.

See also: Blinken Vows More US Military Might In Indo-Pacific To Push Back Against China

House, Senate Near Agreement On Uyghur Bill Aimed At China

Bloomberg:

Lawmakers in the House and Senate are close to agreement on legislation aimed at punishing China for the alleged oppression of the Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang, according to two people familiar with the discussions.

A deal would set up a potential vote on the legislation before the end of the year if Senate committees sign off and the measure can be squeezed into the schedule. Versions of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act have passed in the House and Senate, and lawmakers in both chambers have been working to iron out differences.

The House-passed version would require the U.S Department of Homeland Security to create a list of entities that collaborate with the Chinese government in the repression of the Uyghurs, a predominately Muslim ethnic minority as well as other groups. It also contains a “rebuttable presumption” that assumes all goods were made with forced labor unless the commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection gives an exception.

The legislation is sure to add to tensions between the world’s two largest economies over human rights, trade and Taiwan.