Militant Islamic State Group Strikes From Shadows In Vulnerable Syria, Iraq

Dawn:

With a spectacular jailbreak in Syria and a deadly attack on an army barracks in Iraq, the militant Islamic State (IS) group was back in the headlines the past week, a reminder of a war that formally ended three years ago but continues to be fought mostly away from view.

The attacks were some of the boldest since the extremist group lost its last sliver of territory in 2019 with the help of a US-led international coalition, following a years-long war that left much of Iraq and Syria in ruins.

Residents in both countries say the recent high-profile IS operations only confirmed what they’ve known and feared for months: Economic collapse, lack of governance and growing ethnic tensions in the impoverished region are reversing counter-IS gains, allowing the group to threaten parts of its former so-called caliphate once again.

Islamic State Jailbreak, Attacks In Syria, Iraq Raise Alarm; Scores Die

The Hindu:

The Islamic State (IS) group unleashed its biggest attack in Syria since the fall of its “caliphate” three years ago. More than 100 militants assaulted the main prison holding suspected extremists, sparking a battle with U.S.-backed Kurdish fighters that continued 24 hours later and left dozens dead on Friday.

Across the border in Iraq, gunmen stormed an Army barracks north of Baghdad before dawn on Friday while soldiers inside slept, killing 11 before escaping — the deadliest attack in months on Iraq’s military.

The bold assaults suggest militants have been revitalized after maintaining a low-level insurgency in Iraq and Syria over the past few years. The group’s territorial control in Iraq and Syria was crushed by a years-long U.S.-backed campaign, but its fighters continued with sleeper cells that have increasingly killed scores of Iraqis and Syrians in past months.

Violence Mounts In Iraq As Sadrists Attempt To Form A Government

The National Interest:

Iraq’s new leadership, dominated by the “Sadrist Movement” electoral alliance, faced its first major security challenge as a wave of sectarian violence swept through Baghdad this past week. This surge in violence will pose a challenge to the Sadrist Movement as it attempts to form a majority government following its victory in Iraq’s October 2021 elections.

See also: In Democratic Iraq, Fears Of A Civil War

Risk Of U.S.-Iran Shadow Conflict In Iraq Grows As Tehran-Backed Militias Lash Out, Lose Allies

The Washington Times:

The nearly two-decade-old U.S. military mission in Iraq has entered a dangerous new phase, with critics warning the Biden administration has allowed the mission to carry on without clear parameters or a straightforward end game amid increased attacks by volatile Iranian proxies.

President Biden, who oversaw last year’s disastrously executed military pullout from Afghanistan, declared months ago that the U.S. combat role in Iraq would be over by the end of 2021.

While American forces formally transitioned in December from a combat mission against Islamic State remnants to advising the Iraqi military, analysts say the roughly 2,500 U.S. troops still in Iraq face growing threats, specifically from Iran-backed militias in the country.

See also: Excluding Pro-Iran Parties From Iraq Government Could Ignite Civil War

Rockets Target US Embassy In Baghdad, Pro-Iran Factions Suspected

The Arab Weekly:

At least four rockets targeted the US embassy compound in Baghdad’s heavily-fortified Green Zone on Thursday, Iraqi security officials said. The area is home to diplomatic missions and the seat of the Iraqi government.

Three of the missiles struck within the perimetre of the American embassy, the officials said. Another hit a school located in a nearby residential complex.

Strikes On U.S. Troops Show The Need To Withdraw From Iraq And Syria

Reason:

Last week’s attacks show how a continued U.S. troop presence in the Middle East invites danger. Americans and Iran-linked groups have exchanged many attacks in recent years, especially after former President Donald Trump ordered the January 2020 assassination of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani. Last week’s skirmishes are the latest installment. According to the Associated Press, the drones shot down near the Baghdad airport were decorated with the words “Soleimani’s revenge” and “revenge operations for our leaders.”

Chaotic Scenes As Iraq’s New Parliament Holds First Session

Al Jazeera:

The chaotic meeting ushers in what is likely to be a lengthy period of political wrangling among rival groups to choose a new president and a prime minister. As the leader of the biggest bloc, Shia leader Moqtada al-Sadr has the upper hand in forming a new government. But he will have to manage tensions with rival Shia groups that continue to reject the election results and are demanding to have a say in the government formation process.

According to Iraq’s constitution, the largest bloc in parliament has the right to choose the new prime minister.

But as the meeting got under way on Sunday, a coalition known as the Shia Coordination Framework, an alliance of Shia factions which object to the vote results, submitted a list of lawmakers’ names it claimed now hold the biggest parliamentary bloc with 88 seats, rather than al-Sadr.

Two Drone Attacks In 24 Hours Target US Forces In Iraq – Analysis

The Jerusalem Post:

Two drones on Monday targeted al-Asad air base in Iraq, a facility where US personnel are located. It came about 24 hours after another drone attack targeted Americans in Baghdad.

The attack on Monday coincided with the anniversary of the US killing of IRGC Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani; the drones had “revenge” written on them. The second attack appears to also be a message from Iran and its allies in Iraq.

Iraq: Drone Attack On US Base Near Baghdad Airport Foiled

Al Jazeera:

Two armed drones were shot down as they approached an Iraqi military base hosting US forces near Baghdad’s international airport, Iraqi security sources said, adding that nobody was hurt in the incident.

An official of the US-led international military coalition stationed there said the base’s defence system engaged “two fixed-wing suicide drones… they were shot down without incident”.

Rally In Baghdad On Anniversary Of Iranian General’s Death

Military News:

Chanting anti-American slogans, hundreds of people rallied in the Iraqi capital Saturday to mark the anniversary of the killing of a powerful Iranian general and a top Iraqi militia leader in a U.S. drone strike.

The crowd called for the expulsion of remaining American forces from Iraq during the demonstration commemorating the airstrike at Baghdad airport. The strike killed Gen. Qassim Soleimani, who was the head of Iran’s elite Quds Force, and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, deputy commander of Iran-backed militias in Iraq known as the Popular Mobilization Forces.

“We will not let you stay after today on in the land of the martyrs,” some of the placards read. American and Israeli flags were strewn on the ground, with people trampling on them.

Documents Reveal Basic Flaws In Pentagon Dismissals Of Civilian Casualty Claims

The New York Times:

An analysis of confidential Pentagon documents by The Times’s Visual Investigations unit found that a number of allegations of civilian casualties had been dismissed as “noncredible” based on flawed reviews of evidence — oversights that Times reporters were able to detect using resources widely available to the public. That included websites like Google Maps and Wikimapia, a crowdsourced mapping platform. Typically, U.S. military assessors have access to far more robust resources, such as strike logs and video feeds of airstrikes.

“I’ll tell you what it is: That’s negligence,” said Marc Garlasco, a former Pentagon senior intelligence analyst. “That is plain and simple. It is the most basic level of investigation that they should be doing, and not to do it is completely negligent.”

Iraqis Remember Saddam Hussein 15 Years After His Execution

The National:

Fifteen years after the execution of Iraq’s former dictator Saddam Hussein, Iraqis are still divided about his rule and legacy.

“Saddam’s era saw big achievements and setbacks in all fields,” Baghdad resident Riyadh Ahmed Salih told The National.

“But after him Iraq is literally collapsed and we have been seeing one setback after another,” said Mr Salih, 68, a retired teacher.

General Says US Troops To Remain In Iraq

The North State Journal:

The top U.S. commander for the Middle East said that the United States will keep the current 2,500 troops in Iraq for the foreseeable future, and he warned that he expects increasing attacks on U.S. and Iraqi personnel by Iranian-backed militias determined to get American forces out. 

Marine Gen. Frank McKenzie said in an interview with The Associated Press at the Pentagon that despite the shift by U.S. forces to a non-combat role in Iraq, they will still provide air support and other military aid for Iraq’s fight against the Islamic State. 

Noting that Iranian-backed militias want all Western forces out of Iraq, he said an ongoing uptick in violence may continue through December. 

“They actually want all U.S. forces to leave, and all U.S. forces are not going to leave,” he said, adding that as a result, “that may provoke a response as we get later into the end of the month.” 

Operation Iraqi Freedom continues pointlessly into the foreseeable future.

Iraqi PM Declares Completion Of Anti-ISIS Coalition’s Combat Mission

Rudaw:

Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi announced Wednesday the official ending of the global coalition against the Islamic State’s (ISIS) combat mission in the country, adding that their new role is to advise and assist local security forces. 

“The Coalition have fully completed their combat role after transfer of personnel and material outside Iraq. Going forward, their role will be to advise and assist our security forces per the outcome of the Strategic Dialogue,” Kadhimi said in a tweet , referring to a string of meetings between Iraqi and US in the last two years. 

“We thank the leadership of the Coalition, it’s members, our partners and neighbors in combating Daish and reaffirm that our security forces stand ready to defend our people,” he added. 

The Coalition was formally established in October 2014, after ISIS took control of vast swathes of territories in Iraq and Syria. Consisting of 84 nations, the US-led Coalition’s mission has been “degrading and ensuring Daesh’s enduring defeat,” it says on its website, using Arabic acronym for the extremist group. 

Iraq’s Supreme Court Ratifies October Election Results

Al Jazeera:

“The Federal Supreme Court has ratified the results of the legislative elections,” its media officer announced in a brief statement.

Iran-backed factions, including powerful armed groups, had alleged irregularities in the October 10 vote, in which they performed poorly.

“The Federal Court has decided to reject the complaint aimed at not having the (election) results ratified, and to make the plaintiff bear the costs,” Judge Jassim Mohammed earlier said as he read out the ruling at the court headquarters in the capital, Baghdad, on Monday.